Propaganda-style language

Despite the huge damage of climate from fossil gas, especially shale gas, IEA likes to use bloomy language, such as “Golden Rules for a Golden Age of Gasto encourage development of fossil gas.

 

Incompatibility of scenarios with Paris targets

The International Energy Agency (IEA) continues to assume we will miss the Paris targets, even in its most ambitious “Sustainable Development Scenario”. Its main “New Policies Scenario” would exhaust the 1.5°C carbon budget in 2022.

See the report and briefing Off Track: How the IEA Guides Energy Decisions Towards Fossil Fuel Dependence and Climate Change. Oil Change International, April 2018.

Underestimation of renewables growth

The IEA uses various methodologies and assumptions that consistently bias their forecasts against renewables. In addition, the analyzing system of energy agencies of renewables is out of date. Either way, though, the problem is that faulty reporting of wind and solar energy additions as well as obsessively pessimistic forecasts mislead the public, mislead investors, mislead businesses, and mislead policymakers.

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Primary vs. final energy

Primary energy consumption is a measure of the energy content of all the oil, coal, gas that is taken out of the ground, typically reported in tonnes of oil equivalent (toe). Final energy consumption is the energy delivered to the final consumer. By using primary energy as the standard metric, IEA gives the impression that the solar and wind contribution to world energy supply is several times smaller than it actually is.

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Underestimation of leakage rates

The numbers the IEA uses for gas leakage in gas extraction are an underestimation. They use US EPA numbers (1.7% leakage, before shale gas) and say this is the global average, but the leakage is more than 3.6%. Methane emissions from shale gas are much higher than from conventional gas.

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